Was it prophecy, or precision?
On January 1st, before an elite gathering of past and present leaders of the National Assembly in Lagos, President Bola Ahmed Tinubu made a statement that would echo louder with time,
“If Senator Ned Nwoko joins the APC, all the red caps will follow him.”
It sounded lofty, almost mythical, but today, that statement is no longer a prediction, it is Delta’s living, breathing reality.
For years, Senator Ned Nwoko was described as a brilliant mind with no structure. After his distinguished stint in the House of Representatives, he would contest, inspire, but the “system” repeatedly delayed the vision. The PDP machinery, clogged with tired loyalties and vested interests, was engineered to reward compliance over courage, routine over reform.
So in 2023, when Ned emerged under the same umbrella, many assumed it was déjà vu. The “system” would do what it always did, hold on long enough to snatch from him what the people had clearly given.
But something unexpected happened.
The campaign trail wasn’t politics as usual, it was spectacle, movement, culture, carnival. While the PDP’s presidential candidate stumbled at the polls, Senator Ned rose. That was the first tremor. The red cap effect had begun. One decision, one move of the red cap, redrew Delta’s political map with brushstrokes of clarity and courage.
Then came the scramble.
When Senator Ned emerged under the umbrella and the party lost its presidential bid, the calculations kicked in. There was a plan, hijack the structure in a hurried, shadowy Congress, and coast into the next election cycle by muscling out the man with the mandate. It was meant to be textbook politics. But they underestimated Ned.
In the red chambers, he didn’t blend in. He stood tall. He roared. He put the people of Delta North first, ahead of personal gain, party dictates, and political correctness. He asked tough questions, at the State, chased meaningful development, and insisted on equity. In return, he got stone silence, cold shoulders, and locked doors.
loans had pilied, effect of a failed vice presidential bid. The pressure was mounting. Delta had become the victim for a bloated political system running on overdraft. Still, they assumed he would stay quiet, that the comfort of the seat would sedate him. But again, they misread the man.
For Senator Ned Nwoko, the dream of Anioma State burned brighter than the perks of position. And when the PDP made it abundantly clear that Anioma’s creation wasn’t part of their vision, he walked. Not for applause, not for ambition, but for purpose.
And just like that, one red cap shifted thousands.
Structures fell, old orders crumbled, and the very foundations of the party machine bled from within. It wasn’t a bang. It was a rumble, deep and irreversible.
The defection wasn’t business as usual. It was a tectonic shift. It started in Delta North, the traditional game changer of every serious Delta election. From ward to ward, LGA to LGA, the exits rolled in like tide after tide. No coercion, no cash-out frenzy, just resignation letters from loyalists who understood the message. It was organic. It was massive. It was real.
Then the aftershocks hit.
Delta Central and Delta South began to bleed. The unthinkable became the unfolding. As the political walls caved in, choices thinned. The once mighty PDP machine began to sputter.
The rest, as they say, is history.
In one brave, calculated move, the entire PDP structure in Delta State was dismantled and marched into opposition. No fire. No fury. Just facts. It remains one of the most profound political realignments in recent memory.
President Tinubu didn’t guess. He foresaw. He understood the red cap, not just as a cultural emblem, but as a compass of loyalty, identity, and power. He knew that when Ned moved, the red caps would follow. And they did.
The past shapes the future.
The fall of PDP in Delta offers critical lessons. If APC listens, learns, and builds with foresight and inclusion, the road ahead will be smooth. How this merger is managed will determine whether history is applauded or repeated.
– Hon. Gloria Okolugbo
Director of Communications, Office of Distinguished Senator Prince Ned Munir Nwoko